Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 305.074246 346.368632 392.619283 448.529175 514.641727 590.766307 685.684568
2025-01-19 232.610397 283.069543 344.748915 426.675700 534.136237 672.422114 867.390899
2025-01-26 207.594308 265.020371 339.652889 445.774791 596.186695 807.160426 1135.672532
2025-02-02 192.574146 255.623596 341.809819 471.614963 668.369499 966.397725 1475.116845
2025-02-09 173.977409 238.010066 329.062077 472.622127 702.446154 1073.637469 1759.446195
2025-02-16 155.731203 218.263399 310.061958 460.344132 712.169530 1141.797923 1992.681953
2025-02-23 141.456087 202.542133 294.799395 451.044272 724.050509 1214.264786 2251.933088
2025-03-02 133.961574 196.111411 292.796803 462.520322 772.704943 1361.745850 2705.326750
2025-03-09 125.180455 186.696903 284.819811 462.428652 799.924832 1473.337975 3117.080837
2025-03-16 115.786700 175.387004 272.467773 452.815014 807.173117 1545.422647 3459.876563
2025-03-23 109.417965 168.411448 266.613290 454.068187 835.671238 1668.466040 3976.902699
2025-03-30 101.989824 159.033577 255.690091 444.376894 840.007259 1738.046047 4375.252170
2025-04-06 96.160446 152.079258 248.683743 441.982446 860.842424 1854.821083 4975.175729
2025-04-13 88.125623 140.749602 232.900500 420.518908 836.690184 1856.416076 5218.618219
2025-04-20 86.359040 140.239475 236.782303 439.275610 907.000387 2119.399495 6486.549758
2025-04-27 85.472390 141.192513 243.431468 464.646913 998.052515 2467.639752 8312.734287
2025-05-04 81.727707 136.629129 239.060466 465.635677 1029.095431 2652.334686 9610.277715
2025-05-11 76.856396 129.634379 229.340115 453.581355 1024.483200 2726.734584 10467.581680
2025-05-18 72.701837 123.716767 221.298102 444.449981 1026.230118 2823.114342 11515.472837
2025-05-25 70.936918 122.215347 222.026934 455.718002 1085.976463 3134.525636 14000.097606
2025-06-01 68.190017 118.629847 218.169578 455.627999 1113.724807 3343.793214 16125.216206
2025-06-08 64.785346 113.548591 210.802412 446.188705 1112.536278 3446.115390 17686.755370
2025-06-15 62.564511 110.668710 207.872851 447.419201 1143.873236 3687.256784 20533.659091